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Laptops to Outsell Desktop PCs by 2011: IDC
By: Priyanka Pradhan   |   Mar 22,2007
According to a report by technology research firm, IDC, there will be more laptop users, globally, than desktop PC owners, by 2011.

IDC's Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker stated that worldwide PC shipments rose 7.3% from a year ago to 64.7 million units in the fourth quarter of 2006. This shows a 15% decline in sales from 2004 and 2005. Fourth quarter growth was also a few points behind expectations as slow commercial buying—particularly of Desktops in more mature regions, constrained the market.

According to the report, the role of emerging markets is also growing, as Asia/Pacific (excluding Japan) and Rest of World (including Latin America, Canada, Central and Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and Africa) represented more than 50% of Desktop PC shipments in 2006 and will represent more than 50% of all worldwide PC shipments in 2011.

Loren Loverde, director of IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker said, "Slower growth in Desktops and in relatively mature regions changes the market dynamics a bit. A strong Portable offering is becoming more important, and while local players have a larger share of international markets, the shift to Portables will favor the largest players. Portables are picking up some of the slack from Desktops and will benefit from improved security, power management, and new designs supported by Vista. While more replacements and Vista adoption may provide a brief respite for Desktops in 2008, essentially all Desktop growth will occur in emerging regions."

Doug Bell, analyst in IDC's Personal Computing program said, "In the United States, portable PC shipments will maintain double-digit growth through 2010, but this shift to mobility will not be enough to offset reduced demand for desktops. The outlook is valid for both consumer and commercial segments, creating mid-single digit growth for the entire market, peaking in 2008."

He added that the release of Vista and a desktop refresh will create some growth opportunity in late 2007 and early 2008, before resuming a declining growth trend in the out-years.
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